Ukraine war casualties

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This page tries to document and make sense of the victim numbers claimed by the parties to the civil war in the eastern parts of Ukraine and organizations beyond that.

Dead and wounded

Russian sources

Novorossiyan and pro-Russian sources claim the number of nationalist KIA to be over 30,000.

34,921

This summary lists 34,921 killed by June 2015:

A more detailed source is here:

UN numbers

According to "very conservative" estimates of the UN OHCHR as of August 10, 2,086 people have been killed and almost 5,000 wounded, nearly doubling the numbers of casualties since the last estimate of 1,129 on July 26.[1] On August 28, the UN gave the number of killed as 2,220, among them 23 children.[2] A day later, Ivan Simonovic, U.N. Assistant Secretary General for Human Rights, told journalists that the current number of killed is 2,593, not counting the victims of the Crash of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17.[3]

Sources

Claims of the Ukrainian Government

The Ukrainian government has been shy to report numbers of casualties in their "Anti-Terrorist Operations" staying in the hundreds until mid-August. Increasingly getting under pressure not least by mothers waiting to hear from their sons for months.[4]

Oleh Lyashko & Semyon Semchenko

At least 8000 dead hidden.[5]

Others
"We all remember the queues at the military recruitment stations, when everybody wanted to go to defend and to fight the Motherland, said Kolesnik. — Where are these queues now? These queues were killed in the cauldrons. They were killed in DAP, they were killed in Ilovaysk. They were killed in Debaltsevo.
— Nikolay Kolesnik - curator of the territorial defense battalion "Krivbas" - August 2015

Claims of Novorossiya

  • Ukrainian losses throughout Donbass conflict make 30,000 soldiers - DONi News Agency, April 14, 2017
    The Ukrainian army has lost about 30 thousand personnel since the outset of the military conflict in Donbass, stated the DPR Head, Alexander Zakharchenko, during this day’s Q&A session. During hostilities Ukrainian fighters "were uncontrollably burying their dead into unmarked common graves and then levelling them to the ground."

2014

Rebels claim loyalist's radio intercept , claiming that 483 loyalist soldiers were killed, more than 700 wounded, just near Donetsk, on Aug 19 2014. They claim the figure on the radio intercept is more than what they themselves had previously reported.[6]

January 15, 2015: Zakharchenko claims 1500 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the Ilovaisk Cauldron.

German estimates

According to official figures, the war in East Ukraine has killed 1,200 soldiers and 5,400 civilians. But German security circles think it may be almost ten times as many

Other

  • A facebook account under the name and picture of Russian professor and political scientist Igor Panarin has come up with a detailed statistic of losses of Ukrainian forces, alleging a total of 17,672 "killed and wounded" and an additional 11,810 "deserters and missing" up until August 19.
  • According to Reliefweb At least 2,119 (including at least 20 children) killed and 5,043 (including at least 30 children) wounded in east Ukraine as of 13 August; on average, at least 60 persons a day have been killed or wounded since mid-April1[7]
Continuing shelling in Donetsk and Luhansk increases number of displaced.
More than 22,000 people have fled Donetsk and Luhansk in the last five days compared to 6,200 in the week of 1 to 8 August).
  • Ultimate fiasco of the Ukrainian army - Oriental Review, Nov 7, 2015
    During the conflict in the Donbass, Ukraine lost about 24,000 soldiers in combat operations, almost 54,000 were wounded, and over 9,000 have gone missing. Deaths from non-combat-related fatalities totaled 1,309, including 873 suicides.

Ivan Katchanovski

On Facebook on September 8, 2015

The estimated number of casualties of the civil war in Donbas is now about 10 thousand, about half of them civilians. My estimate is based on the latest UN report of the minimum of 7,883 confirmed casualties in Donbas as of August 15, 2015. It is adjusted by an estimate of presumed casualties among reported 1,200-2,000 missing civilians and Ukrainian armed forces members and undercounted casualties among separatists, Russian volunteers, and Russian regular troops. The number of civilian casualties is about 5,000, including 298 passengers and crew of the Malaysian airliner, which was likely shot down by separatists. The UN report provides a break-down of casualties confirming de facto that the absolute majority of civilians were killed as result of shelling of the separatist-controlled part of Donbas by the Ukrainian forces and far-right controlled police, the National Guard, and paramilitary units.
The estimated number of killed members of the Ukrainian military, National Guard, police, Security Service, border guards, and paramilitary units is around 3,000. The estimate is based on official reports of 2,300 casualties among the Ukrainian armed forces, about 200 presumed casualties among 283 missing soldiers, and 300 casualties among the National Guard and the police. The number of killed members of armed separatists units, including Russian volunteers, is about 2,000, since they had an advantage of mainly defensive operations and no large-scale casualties from encirclements and shot down military planes and helicopters. The rough estimate of killed Russian regular troops, primarily involved in fighting in August 2014 and February 2015, is about 100.

Oleg Tsarov

  • Script for Future Coup in Ukraine: Poroshenko Fired by Washington - News-Front, August 23, 2016
    I know the figures. They are monstrous. I will not name the source, but he’s serious. About 100,000 people died during the conflict in Ukraine. It already almost "caught up" Yugoslavia. Therefore, the ideal situation is when the conflict is resolved outside of Ukraine. In Syria, during elections in the United States, by any political bargaining between world powers. What is happening now in Syria, Turkey, and other regions is in fact the solution to the Ukrainian question outside the territory of Ukraine.

POW

UAF General-Colonel Volodomyr Ruban (Володимир Рубан) estimates the number of prisoners still held by rebels at around 300 people, see around 18.31 @ [1]. In the past, he managed to exchange around 65 people. Urgency to speed the process is emphasized.

Refugees

Internally displaced

According to the UN HCR, by Sptember 2, 2014 at least 260,000 people had been internally displaced in Ukraine, more than doubling from 117,000 a month earlier.[8] Due to the lack of a central registration system, which the UN had urged Kiev to establish weeks earlier,[9] the numbers are likely higher. A UN HCR map of the distribution of internally displaced shows that around 50,000 of them are displaced inside the Eastern provinces subject to the "Anti-Terror Operation".[10]

Externally displaced

As of August 21, according to UN numbers 14,600 Ukrainians fled to Poland and 13,800 to Belarus.[11] As of Septmeber 2, 814,000 left to Russia, the bulk under the visa-free regime, but more than 200,000 of them in contact with the Federal Migration Service.[8] Of the 168,677 of the latter who had done so by August 5, the UN HCR details that

These included 6,347 for refugee status, 48,914 for temporary asylum, 28,134 for citizenship, 59,858 for temporary residence, 19,943 for residence permits and 5,481 under the programme of resettlement of compatriots.[9]

Investigations

Russian Investigative Committee opened 54 criminal cases, gathered 2500 volumes of evidence. It is ready to transfer these materials to any international court. But it will continue its investigation. (Translated from Russian)

Sources

References