Talk:Syria news/Current

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for discussion older than December 2018 see the Archive

2021

CW restart claims (links, Dec 17, mainpage). Isopropanol may be used as antiseptic (while not being drinkable unlike ethanol). Quantities of 350- 450 tons per year are quite small for 17.5 mln listed population, and are about 3.4 kg per soldier for the listed 139K army size. Tricalcium phosphate or other precursors quantities are not provided. In general, obviously Israelis and Iranians are both making conflict preparations, and neither have big hurdles in operating in Syria. --Resup (talk) 17:52, 17 December 2021 (UTC)

December 2018 - Turkey threatens and US withdraws

This latest development is really stunning. If the Rojava Kurds have any sense left after Trump's announcement of withdrawal and Erdogan's threats, they must run as fast as they can to Damascus and invite the SAA to return to Rojava on almost every terms. That's IMHO the only way to avoid a Turkish invasion which would be a terrible massacre, the end of all their achievements and the end of Syria in the current borders. --CE (talk) 12:16, 20 December 2018 (UTC)

Western mainstream media attacked the decision. Which was floated in Trump's election campaigns, then repeated and abandoned in alteration, in between two Tomahawk strikes, over some Russians. Until that Erdogan's shtick in the news?

In Russian sources, some doubt this is for real, and not different from what it seems. With the Kurds, likely initial/natural sympathy but after they caused a strike killing 2 to 3 hundred Russian contractors, as per Strelkov and friends (+ them controlling the richest oil fields, as far as the bosses are concerned) there may be little enthusiasm to specially defend them. It is likely that it will be left for Assad to do; the latter will require Syrian state in control. Such negotiations happened in the past, without an agreement. Some patriotic opposition figures praised Trump as an example to Putin to follow the suit and get out of Syria. --Resup (talk) 12:38, 20 December 2018 (UTC)

October 2019 - Deja-Vu

Kurdish allies? US has a history of abandoning (Kissinger's “covert action should not be confused with missionary work”); in Trump's version, they are "special people and wonderful fighters" , and "we are helping the Kurds financially/weapons!". Israelis, sympathetic, but won't fight for them (comments noted to the effect that days when Americans are expected to sort out things are gone). Armenia, not enough weight/resources to take it on. Russia may be, abstractly, lukewarm positive, but with Kurds controlling oil resources, + Turkey an important (economic) partner, Russia will look the other way (+ earlier comment on causing death of hundreds of Russian contractors still applies, as far as Russian vets/patriotic movements, and by extension the ordinary people are concerned). US vets, commoners, and whether it's relevant, unsure --Resup (talk) 23:25, 8 October 2019 (UTC)

I can only repeat what I wrote last time. And the signs are a bit better than last time (as they should, how stubborn can the Kurds be?) - Russia has forced both AA and the Government, and Intelligence of Syria and Turkey, to negotiate and it even has opened a military bridge over the Euphrates in recent days. --CE (talk) 12:10, 9 October 2019 (UTC)

Sources

He's an excellent analyst and very well connected, so I'm really happy to read that it all seems to go into the direction I wished for. --CE (talk) 13:40, 23 December 2018 (UTC)
  • The Threat to Rojava, An Anarchist in Syria Speaks on the Real Meaning of Trump’s Withdrawal, crimethinc.com, Dec. 28, 2018
    Author provides his perspective on multi-side events in Syria in general --Resup (talk) 09:36, 4 January 2019 (UTC)
  • Lindsey Graham and Donald Trump talked on some 'smart ways in Syria', leaving Graham happy enough, according to US mass media -WaPo , 30 Dec, CNN, Dec. 30, 2018 for whatever that really means... --Resup (talk) 09:49, 31 December 2018 (UTC)
  • Donald Trump on twitter ... we’re slowly sending our troops back home to be with their families, while at the same time fighting ISIS remnants (part of a series of tweets)
    --Resup (talk) 16:44, 31 December 2018 (UTC)
  • Kurdish partisan Jacob Reamer-Cassad, Jabuary 6, 2019
    The Kurdistan Workers Party confirmed that German citizen Jacob Reamer, who came from Germany to Kurdistan to fight for the freedom of Kurds, was killed in a battle with Turkish troops.
    --Resup (talk) 00:28, 7 January 2019 (UTC)
  • A Force for Good: America Reinvigorated in the Middle East -Michael R. Pompeo , Secretary of State, The American University in Cairo, Cairo, Egypt, January 10, 2019
    When Bashar Assad unleashed terror upon ordinary Syrians and barrel-bombed civilians with sarin gas, a true echo of Saddam Hussein’s gassing of the Kurdish people, we...
    --Resup (talk) 19:27, 12 January 2019 (UTC)
  • Russian source: Terrorists preparing for new chemical attacks in Syria SANA, January 15, 2019
  • American military killed in Syria - Rusvesna, January 16, 2019. Top photo is from Iraq war time, e,g, here. Several videos in the end (some by ANHA) apparently related to the event.
  • 21 Jan. 2019. It is reported that 5 SDF soldiers of a joint Kurdish-US patrol were killed. Some reports say 2 US soldiers were wounded, while the official report states that there are no US casualties, ie no US soldiers killed (Kurdistan 24, Rusvesna, SOHR)
  • Brett McGurk, former special envoy for the anti-ISIS coalition: 'ISIS is not defeated' -CNN, undated/January 2019
    Goes after Turkey support of 'bad' groups, laments drastic changes of US policies --Resup (talk) 08:30, 23 January 2019 (UTC)
  • BBC journo Riam Dalati : After almost 6 months of investigations, i can prove without a doubt that the #Douma Hospital scene was staged. No fatalities occurred in the hospital. All the #WH, activists and people i spoke to are either in #Idlib or #EuphratesShield areas. Only one person was in #Damascus, as appeared on Twitter, 13 February, 2019 --Resup (talk) 00:16, 14 February 2019 (UTC)
The twitter account is now set to private but I've seen that his claims had something to do with this ultra-long piece by James Harkin on The Intercept from February 9, who seems to have come to the same (obvious) conclusion. Briefly skimmed the thing and found some "but but but never forget that Assad did drop chlorine barrel bombs on his own people" save-the-narrative red flags. Maybe someone else feels like digging into this. I don't. --CE (talk) 14:39, 14 February 2019 (UTC)
  • President Trump Holds News Conference at Conclusion of G-7 Summit , August 26, 2019, around 54:17 on the video:
    It was the red line in the sand and Obama said never violate the red line in the sand and then they went ahead and they killed many children with gas . It was terrible and he did nothing about it. I did and I was there years later. I did something about it but I was there late . --Resup (talk) 17:50, 26 August 2019 (UTC)

Pierre Piccinin da Prata

  • Syria Times, 16 March, 2019
    Pierre Piccinin da Prata, the Belgian War reporter and Editor-in-Chief of The Maghreb and Orient Courier, held hostage with Italian war reporter Domenico Quirico by Syrian ‘rebels’ for five months, eavesdropped a conversation through a closed door- between their jailers about the chemical weapon attack and saying that President al-Assad was not responsible for Ghouta Sarin gas attack.

This may add to what's known, but some problem with the way it is published, no video, Syrian original source (then reposted elsewhere). Critics may say, what they usually say (propaganda, variant Stockholm syndrome, etc). It would be better if coming from him directly, best on video, especially since he is an editor of some info-resources 1, 2. Could not quickly located this on his pages. --16:22, 24 March 2019 (UTC)

I've posted this already where it belongs. --CE (talk) 17:13, 24 March 2019 (UTC)

Prigozhin?

11 Jan. 2020 Russian and German media report that Evgenii Prigozhin is arrested in Munich, each quoting the other as the source --Resup (talk) 14:36, 11 January 2020 (UTC) The news was later denied

"On the road to Damascus

Assad joked, suggesting that "if Trump passes along this road, everything will become normal with him too." Vladimir Putin immediately responded: "Invite him, he will come." “I'm ready,” Assad said. “I'll tell him,” Putin assured. Presidents also visited the Umayyad Mosque, known as the Great Mosque of Damascus - here --Resup (talk) 14:22, 12 January 2020 (UTC)

Turkey

As robo-translated. The headlines from Erdogan's statement are as follows:

“With the last attack, the number of martyrs we have given in Idlib has reached 14 and the number of injured 45 to date. Turkey will remain a spectator to this situation. In Idlib , most of the attacks, along with the regime and the Russians , target civilian people, not terrorists. The aim is to move the people of the region to the border of our country in order to occupy easily, to empty the field. ”

'We will hit the regime powers everywhere' “For a while these attacks started to target our soldiers directly. If this is the case, we will act according to the facts on the field, not just words. We are determined to pull the regime behind our observation limits by the end of February. We will do this without any distraction. We will do whatever we need to do immediately, without waiting for the results of the endless meetings. We have given the message that the opposition groups in the region will act uncorruptedly and treat those who attack the regime without compromise. We will no longer tolerate anyone's provocations. ”

“I declare that if our soldiers at the observation points and elsewhere suffer the slightest damage, we will shoot regime forces everywhere without being bound by the Idlib and Sochi memorandum.”

Opolchenie people (Strelkov) continue to express criticism and concern over a possibility of a direct clash between Russian and Turkish forces. A view is expressed that neither side really wants this to happen. Advances in Saraqib are attributed to Hezbollah (like in MEM here) + Russian PMC + SAA, with some support by the Russian airforce. --Resup (talk) 19:54, 4 March 2020 (UTC)

Missile marking appears to be 9M78M or 9M79M. The latter would be Tochka U; the former is a less known Soviet cruise missile (оперативно-тактическая крылатая ракета С-5М. Usage: РК 2К17М (ФКР-2М)), according to contemporary indexation. Greater resemblance with Tocka , I'd say --Resup (talk) 14:41, 6 March 2021 (UTC)