Khakovka Dam collapse

Dam background

 * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kakhovka_Dam
 * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Crimean_Canal

Prior incidents/speculation
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 * https://search.brave.com/search?q=shelling+mining+nova+khakovka+canal+&source=desktop&tf=2014-01-01to2023-06-05
 * In southern Ukraine, Russian forces guard strategic dam - AFP, May 23, 2022
 * AFP visited the site of the Kakhovka power station and dam as part of a press tour organised by the Russian army, accompanied at all times by Russian soldiers armed with machine guns.Even though it is located away from the front line that runs further north, Russians vigilantly guard the strategic site that they say has been subject to attempts at "sabotage". "There were attempts to bring in explosive substances, but they were all thwarted," says Vladimir Leontyev, a Russia-appointed head of the civil and military administration of the Kakhovka district.

''As previously reported, the Defense Forces of Ukraine continue to attack bridges in the area of occupied Kherson. On August 8, they yet again targeted the Antonivskyi bridge and the dam in Nova Kakhovka.''
 * The bridge in the area of Kakhovka Hydro Power Plant is no longer suitable for use – OC “South” - Miltarnyl, August 10, 2022


 * Ukraine says it has taken out vital bridge in occupied Kherson - BBC News, August 13, 2022
 * The destruction of the road bridge of the Nova Kakhovka dam was ensured, with the result that it was taken out of operation," the Ukrainian army's Operational Command South posted to Facebook.


 * Ukrainian forces keep shelling Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant — official - Tass, September 3, 2022
 * Factbox-Is the Kakhovka Dam in Ukraine About to Be Blown? - Reuters, October 21, 2022
 * People endure daily shelling in Nova Kakhovka - Reuters Videos, October 31, 2022
 * Ukraine's Russian-held Nova Kakhovka dam damaged in shelling, Russian media report - Reuters, November 6, 2022
 * @EUFreeCitizen - RV journalists confirmed the blowing up of the bridge across the #Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station... November 12, 2022
 * Inside the Ukrainian counteroffensive that shocked Putin and reshaped the war - Isabelle Khurshudyan, Paul Sonne, Serhiy Morgunov and Kamila Hrabchuk, The Washington Post, December 29, 2022
 * Kovalchuk considered flooding the river. The Ukrainians, he said, even conducted a test strike with a HIMARS launcher on one of the floodgates at the Nova Kakhovka dam, making three holes in the metal to see if the Dnieper’s water could be raised enough to stymie Russian crossings but not flood nearby villages. The test was a success, Kovalchuk said, but the step remained a last resort. He held off.

Storm Shadow Missiles

 * https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/06/kakhovadam.html

Analysis

 * https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-ukrainian-war-dam
 * https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/portmortem-analysis-on-kakhovka-dam
 * https://libyancivilwar.blogspot.com/2023/06/what-caused-collapse-of-nova-kakhovka.html